Dallas Stars: Blackout Dallas Predicts 2015-2016 Season
The Dallas Stars are preparing to embark on an interesting and potentially successful 2015-2016 season.
More From Blackout Dallas – Dallas Stars Race To Blue Line Tightening Up
After a disappointing 2014-2015 campaign where the team never really seemed to get things running, the Stars countered with a big offseason filled with top-notch pickups. These pickups included Antti Niemi, Patrick Sharp, and Johnny Oduya. All three have at least one Stanley Cup under their belt and will look to bring that necessary expertise to Dallas.
But there is also cause to be worried about the upcoming year. For example, in September of 2014, Dallas Stars fans along with the league were talking about a potential Stanley Cup run for the team. Instead, some of the seemingly harmless faults turned out to be key errors that buried the Stars seven points back of the nearest playoff spot at the end of the year.
So a new year is upon us, and most Dallas Stars fans are not sure how to feel. Some are counting by the minute for the season to start because they are expecting a deep playoff run this year. Others want to feel hopeful but do not want to be sucked into the hype like last year and end up only sad and hopeless.
We here at Blackout Dallas are excited for the season to begin, no matter what the outcome is. This is mainly because it is getting difficult to think of new topics to write about when there is not much going on (though Tyler Seguin and the rubber ducky is still seared into our minds).
What we did was focus on an array of topics for the upcoming season and each give our honest opinion in regards to the question. We have our predictions formed neatly into a slideshow, so please enjoy!
Next: Allison Scott: The Season Of The Stars
Dec 29, 2014; Dallas, TX, USA; Dallas Stars defenseman Jordie Benn (24), goalie Kari Lehtonen (32), defenseman Alex Goligoski (33), and center Jason Spezza (90) celebrate after defeating the New York Rangers 3-2 at the American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
The Season Of The Stars:
by Allison Scott, Staff Writer
Greatest Strength:
Scoring. Without a doubt the biggest advantage the Stars have over their opponents is their ability to not only skate extremely well, but to score a heck of a lot of goals. I don’t think anyone would argue that the forwards are the best players on the team because they’re just that good.
Greatest Downfall:
Defense. On the other end of the ice it’s an entirely different story. Dallas has continually had issues defending the crease and being hard to play against defensively in part because of budget and in part because of the focus on the forwards.
New addition Johnny Oduya could certainly change this, but he isn’t going to be the end all be all solution. As far as losing Trevor Daley goes his absence will hurt offense more than defense because he seemed to be more focused on that part of his game than most defenders. Plus the dynamic of merging Antti Niemi’s style of play with Dallas’ system will create problems.
Leading Goal Scorer:
Tyler Seguin, and he’ll score 44 goals. Although he seems like the obvious choice it’d be pretty hard to predict anyone other than him. Jamie Benn might have a shot at this, but him having just come back from his offseason hip surgery, I don’t think he’ll be scoring more than number 91.
Leader In Points:
Jason Spezza will tally 75 points this year and lead the team. He’s entering his second year with Dallas and he’s proven to be a great forward in the past, so I don’t see why he wouldn’t be this year. It all depends on which line he ends up centering, but I think this could be a solid year for him.
Biggest Surprise Player:
Valeri Nichushkin will finish the year with 53 points (21G, 32A). He missed all of last season but eight games and I think a lot of people have forgotten about him. He was so highly praised even earning recognition from the great Jaromir Jagr, but the NHL and the Stars haven’t seen him play for almost a year, which leaves a lot of room for questions.
It also leaves room for surprise because he’s been training post-rehab and that will make him a force to be reckoned with in my opinion.
Biggest Bust Player:
John Klingberg will finish with 30 points (11G, 19A). As much as it kills me to admit it I don’t think he can live up to the expectations he created from such a stellar season last year. I don’t think he’s going to be bad by any means, but I feel like he’ll be the biggest disappointment because he’s expected to be so good.
More from Dallas Stars News
- Dallas Stars Traverse City Tournament: Who had great performances?
- Grushnikov and Stankoven lead Dallas Stars to 6-3 win over Columbus
- Dallas Stars prospects look to wrap up tournament with a win
- Burn the tapes: Dallas Stars prospects lose 5-1 to Toronto Maple Leafs
- Dallas Stars look to continue success today against the Maple Leafs
Which Goalie Will Play Better:
Kari Lehtonen. He’s got a way of bouncing back and although he wasn’t terrible last season he wasn’t as good as he needed to be or as Dallas needed him to be. Antti Niemi is going to be successful, that I’m confident in, but adjusting to a new team, a new city, and in general a new life makes playing hockey a lot more difficult.
One UFA That Earns A New Deal:
Jason Demers. He was a great pick up by Jim Nill last season and as long as he performs to the same effect this year I could see him getting re-signed. Trading away Brenden Dillon also makes it more likely that Dallas would try to keep him around because some people thought that was rather controversial.
The only issue is that the Stars are loaded at defense so he could easily lose his spot in the line-up if he underperforms or is outshined by a young guy.
Final Record:
44-29-9 (97 points)
Final Central Division Standings:
1) Nashville (106 points)
2) St. Louis (104 points)
3) Chicago (101 points)
4) Minnesota (99 points)
5) Dallas (97 points)
6) Colorado (94 points)
7) Winnipeg (87 points)
Do They Make Playoffs? If So, How Far?
The Dallas Stars will make the 2016 Stanley Cup Playoffs. They’ll advance to the second round, but lose in six.
Next: Nick Kucholtz: Dallas Stars Will Meet High Expectations This Season
Dec 29, 2014; Dallas, TX, USA; Dallas Stars defenseman John Klingberg (3) and right wing Ales Hemsky (83) celebrates with the bench after a goal during the first period against the New York Rangers at the American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Dallas Stars Will Meet High Expectations This Season:
by Nick Kucholtz, Staff Writer
Greatest Strength:
Their offensive depth, of course. The Dallas Stars have Jason Spezza as their SECOND line center. There is a possible chance that Patrick Sharp is on the second line, too. Throw in Cody Eakin as a third line center and Patrick Eaves as your fourth line right wing, that is a lethal four-line combo. There are goal scorers and facilitators on all four Dallas Stars lines, and they have one of the best offensive cores in the NHL.
Greatest Downfall:
Look, GM Jim Nill indeed made the Stars defense better during the offseason, but that doesn’t mean everything is fixed. The fact of that matter is, the Dallas Stars let up 3.13 goals per game. Lindy Ruff has a lot of defenseman who can score, but scoring isn’t going to be a problem with this hockey team. The Dallas Stars defense is going to have to play better when they don’t have the puck.
Leading Goal Scorer:
Tyler Seguin is the man I’m going with here. He scored 37 goals in 71 games last year, and I think he scores 40 goals this season. Seguin can score from anywhere in the offensive end, and he has a wonderful line to help him with that. The Stars have plenty of goal scorers, but I think Seguin will lead the pack.
Leader In Points:
I almost hesitated to pick Jamie Benn here, only because of his hip surgeries, but he has shown all Dallas Stars fans that nothing will keep him off the ice. And, as all Stars fans have seen, he is a magician on the ice. Jamie Benn is one of the top captains in all of the NHL, and I think not only will he lead this team off of the ice, but I think he leads the team in points on the ice. I’m going with 83 points for Jamie this season.
Biggest Surprise Player:
This one for me is easy: Cody Eakin. He got his new 4-year contract this offseason for a reason. Last season, he was third on the team in scoring. This season, I think he will be up there in every category for this hockey team.
Whether it be scoring, facilitating, or winning face offs, the ginger can do it all. He will anchor the Stars’ third line throughout the duration of the season. I see him scoring 20 goals and tallying on 28 assists, as well as a 55% face off percentage.
Biggest Bust Player:
Here, I’m going with the newly-acquired Patrick Sharp. Now, I don’t think Sharp will exactly be a “bust,” I just don’t think he will live up to the expectations many Stars fans have of him. Now, the reason for that is because Stars fans’ expectations from him are high. The deal caught Dallas fans everywhere off guard, which built up their excitement.
I believe Sharp is going to play a very important role on this Stars team, but I only see Sharp scoring 20 times ans recording 32 assists. Again, those numbers aren’t bad at all, but many people are expecting a lot from the 33-year-old.
Which Goalie Will Play Better:
This is the hardest one to answer by far. Both goalies had below-standard seasons last year, and truly did not play well in the crease. Jim Nill says he plans to switch off between the two goalies each game, and that very well could work. Regardless if that works for the season, or if plans take a turn, I’m going with Antti Niemi.
Niemi is a more consistent goalie than Kari Lehtonen is, and had almost as many wins as Kari did, despite playing less games and having a team who provided less offensive support. I think Niemi will win more games between the pipes for the Victory Green.
Live Feed class=inline-text id=inline-text-20Editor In Leaf
One UFA That Earns A New Deal:
Alex Goligoski is the first name that pops in my head here. I’m going with Goligoski primarily because he is going to be a leader within the Dallas defensive core this season. He will most likely end up with Klingberg on the first defensive line, and I think that just like he did last year, he will have a lot of assists.
On top of his on-ice skill, he just recently turned 30 years old in July. He has several more years left in him, and plays a huge part on this hockey team.
Final Record:
48-30-4 (100 points)
Final Central Division Standings:
1) St. Louis Blues (110 points)
2) Minnesota Wild (106 points)
3) Dallas Stars (100 points)
4) Nashville Predators (99 points)
5) Chicago Blackhawks (95 points)
6) Winnipeg Jets (93 points)
7) Colorado Avalanche (86 points)
Do They Make Playoffs? If So, How Far?
I think the Dallas Stars will not only return to the playoffs, but I think they win their first playoff series since 2008. From there, I think the Stars have the capability to go even further, but I am going to predict this hockey team loses in the second round.
Again, while the Stars are good enough to compete with any team in the NHL, the second round is where I see this team headed home, but in a series that goes to seven games.
Next: Micaela Hamid: The Keep Calm And Comeback On Season
Apr 3, 2015; Dallas, TX, USA; Dallas Stars right wing Valeri Nichushkin (43) and center Tyler Seguin (91) and defenseman Jason Demers (4) celebrate a goal against the St. Louis Blues during the game at the American Airlines Center. The Blues defeat the Stars 7-5. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
The Keep Calm And Comeback On Season:
by Micaela Hamid, Staff Writer
Greatest Strength:
I believe that the Stars’ offensive firepower will continue to be their greatest asset in the coming season, and will continue to earn them a spot statistically as one of the highest scoring teams in the league.
But I’m not just spit-balling. Last season was the first time in franchise history that a Stars player earned the Art Ross award thanks to Jamie Benn. And on top of that, despite missing 10 games for injury, Tyler Seguin still earned a spot on the list of the league’s top 10 point scorers (specifically, he was #7). With the addition of Patrick Sharp, it’s pretty easy to assume that the Stars’ scoring abilities will only increase.
Greatest Downfall:
I think we will unfortunately see problems in the crease continue to be the Stars’ rustiest areas, at least to start off. Although Jim Nill has made a lot of effort to bring in fresh talent in these areas, dealing with old demons is not a one and done affair.
It seems already this preseason that Lehtonen is still being haunted by last season’s downfalls, and it is going to take some time for the new tandem goalie system to hit full efficiency.
Leading Goal Scorer:
Tyler Seguin led the team in goals last year, and I think he’ll do it again this season, for a few reasons. His goal production was still the best on the team, despite missing 10 games, and he didn’t let the injury slow him down much even when he did return.
That, coupled with the sting of missing playoffs last season for the first time in his career, will definitely motivate Seguin to let that lethal shooting ability out of the cage even more than he has in the past. Alex Ovechkin led the entire league in goals with 53 last season, and I have faith that Seggy can top that with at least 55.
Leader In Points:
While I would sooner choose a favorite star in the heavens, the show must go on. The most obvious choice would be between Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin, but then there’s also Sharp if you want to consider dark horses.
But I would say to look for Jamie Benn to out-do his performance from last season. Given what he was able to accomplish with two bad hips and a whole lot of will-power, Jamie Benn will most likely break his own points record. I’m calling it for at least 93.
Biggest Surprise Player:
I’m going to go out on a limb and put some faith in Colton Sceviour. His last few seasons haven’t been ideal, but with his upcoming unrestricted free agency, I believe that he will really step up this season.
With the departure of Shawn Horcoff and Ryan Garbutt, there are opportunities opening up on the forward end for Sceviour to excel and faced with the possibility of being scratched more often than in the past, Sceviour will hopefully perform to impress when he gets ice time. Best case scenario, he ends with 40 points on the season, and doubles his goals to about 18 (think Cody Eakin level production).
Biggest Bust Player:
Given the movement that has taken place on the offseason and the shuffling of responsibility on the team, we could be seeing less of Brett Ritchie. Both he and Curtis McKenzie will probably make NHL appearances during the season, but if the Stars try to carry eight defensemen on their roster, one of these two will probably spend most of their time this season in the AHL.
Because of his recent wrist surgery, Ritchie seems the most likely candidate. His production in Dallas, which included 6 goals on 9 points last season, can only drop with less time played. As he plays with the Dallas Stars less, I expect he will rack up no more than 3 goals and 6 points (a production level similar to Curtis McKenzie’s this past season).
More from Dallas Stars News
- Dallas Stars Traverse City Tournament: Who had great performances?
- Grushnikov and Stankoven lead Dallas Stars to 6-3 win over Columbus
- Dallas Stars prospects look to wrap up tournament with a win
- Burn the tapes: Dallas Stars prospects lose 5-1 to Toronto Maple Leafs
- Dallas Stars look to continue success today against the Maple Leafs
Which Goalie Will Play Better:
Preseason performance from Kari Lehtonen so far has led me to believe that Niemi may become the more consistent starter in the crease for the Stars.
Unless Lehtonen can mentally purge himself of the confidence-shaking effects of last season, Niemi will surpass him in goal. Although he, too, might have a bumpy start adjusting to a new team, he has the advantage of a fresh start to motivate him to outperform the Stars’ veteran keeper.
One UFA That Earns A New Deal:
While there is an entire season to be played and a lot of upcoming UFAs who know they must take this season as a chance to prove their worth, I’m betting my money on Jason Demers to get new deal for sure. He’s slated to be paired with Oduya defensively, which I think is a sign that Ruff recognizes Demers’ talent and the consistency he can offer as a solid defender.
Alex Goligoski will be a UFA as well and will most likely be offered a deal too, although locking down Demers would be slightly more pressing for the Stars, given that he is a defender’s defender. The Stars need for this single-minded defending is becoming more emphatic than their need for Goligoski’s style of two-way defending (but don’t get me wrong- they need this playing mentality as well).
Final Record:
50-23-9 (109 points)
HOME: 24-13-4
AWAY: 26-10-5
Final Central Division Standings:
1) Dallas Stars (109 points)
2) St. Louis Blues (106 points)
3) Nashville Predators (104 points)
4) Chicago Blackhawks (100 points)
5) Minnesota Wild (99 points)
6) Winnipeg Jets (97 points)
7) Colorado Avalanche (96 points)
Do They Make Playoffs? If So, How Far?
Based on the assumption that the Stars aggressively nip any early-season goaltending issues in the bud, I think they will advance to a second series in the playoffs and fall in game seven.
I’m not convinced that the Stars can make a comeback from last season intense enough to win the Cup, but stranger things have happened and as much as I try to suppress it, I’m an optimist at heart. They will, however, definitely show improvement and at least bring some playoff action back to Dallas.
Next: Josh Clark: Great Expectations With No More Excuses
Apr 3, 2015; Dallas, TX, USA; Dallas Stars goalie Kari Lehtonen (32) and defenseman Jason Demers (4) take the ice to face the St. Louis Blues at the American Airlines Center. The Blues won 7-5. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Great Expectations With No More Excuses:
by Josh Clark, Editor
Greatest Strength:
I think it’s pretty clear that the Dallas Stars strongest area last year will have an even bigger effect this year. That area is the offense. Last season, the Stars put up 261 goals on their opponents. This placed them second in the NHL, with Tampa Bay being first with 262.
After a big season, the Stars are now boasting the two of the most powerful lines in hockey and will definitely have an advantage on the offensive side of the puck. With Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin both returning healthy and adding Patrick Sharp to their first wing, expect a lot of goals from this team this year.
Greatest Downfall:
This may be the biggest question mark. Last season, there was a battle going on between the defense and goaltending to see which one was the bigger problem.
While both improved in the most recent offseason, I see the goaltending being more of a potential downfall. The fact that the Stars have over $10 million invested in two starters who are each going to see severe cuts in their regular playing time is a scary thing. Both goalies have struggled throughout the preseason this year, so we’ll have to wait and see how the year progresses and how they challenge each other.
Leading Goal Scorer:
Tyler Seguin is always the most popular opinion to take in regards to goal scoring. I’m going to go ahead and take that same stance.
Last season, Seguin had a strong start, putting up 24 points in 20 games. He put up 14 goals, including a hat trick. A knee injury took him out for three weeks, effectively cutting him from the Rocket Richard and Art Ross Trophy race. If he can stay healthy this year, I see Seguin improving on his total of 37 last year. I’ll take Seguin netting 40 this season.
Leader In Points:
While Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin are viable options, I am going to take Jason Spezza on this one.
Last season, he stumbled a little out of the gate in his first year with the Stars because he had to adjust to his new team and surroundings. But once he found his groove, his production shot up. With a finally consistent line on his sides, I expect Spezza to pull off a big year for the Stars. But in the end I think Spezza is second on the team with 77 points. Jamie Benn takes the top spot with 82 and Seguin sits third with 76.
Biggest Surprise Player:
The Stars have many players due for a big year. Whether it was injuries or new surroundings, multiple players ended up dragging through a difficult 2014-2015 season.
But this season is a new year, and I see veteran Patrick Eaves surprising a lot of people. Eaves came to Dallas as a free agent in the 2014 offseason. Last year, he was fluctuated throughout the lineup quite a bit and always found ways to produce. Two long-term injuries caused him to miss 28 games. But every time he climbed back into the lineup, he found ways to produce.
Eaves will be an unrestricted free agent in the 2016 offseason, so a big year could definitely help him earn a new contract. Last season, Eaves had 14 goals and 27 points in 47 games. I’ll take Eaves with 21 goals and 43 points this year.
Biggest Bust Player:
There will probably be one bust player that unfolds over the year, but for now each player looks like they are set up for success.
But if there is one player that may not live up to his expectations, it is probably Johnny Oduya. But he has good reason to potentially fall short. Signing Oduya this offseason gave hope to Stars fans everywhere that he would come in and not only become a force on the blue line, but also lead the young players along.
The only problem is, Oduya has never been in a position where he has to produce and teach. In Chicago, Oduya had three other big name defenders to pair up with. He will enter the Stars defensive scheme and will need time to figure it all out, just like Spezza had to last year. Trying to force two big roles on him during the year is not logical.
I see Oduya starting out slow but eventually getting to where everyone wants him to be. Give him two goals and 13 assists. Remember, Oduya is a stay-at-home defender, so offense is not his strong suit.
Which Goalie Will Play Better:
Considering each goalie has a significant past of starting 60-65 games a year and now will have their starts cut down by almost 40%, it is possible that both goalies will struggle. While they will challenge each other and hopefully make each other better through the process, both will face a big status quo shock.
I say that both goalies have decent years after a few rusty starts, but Kari Lehtonen will probably have the better year. You can blame him however much you want for last season’s tailspin, but the fact is that there were multiple factors that led to their demise. The fact that Niemi is coming into a new environment and learning a new scheme could cause some early season struggles.
Lehtonen has been around the organization and knows it well. With a more confident defense in front of him and having a knack for bounce back years, I see Lehtonen taking the top spot.
Live Feed class=inline-text id=inline-text-28App Trigger
One UFA That Earns A New Deal:
There are plenty of unrestricted free agents for the Stars in the 2016 offseason and they could end up parting ways with all of them. With the young talent on offense and defense in the prospect system, the Stars may not need anymore veterans.
But I see it being a tossup between Alex Goligoski and Jason Demers. Both are experienced defenders and help run the Stars top pairs. With consistency in the coming year, they could both be eligible for a new deal. It will all matter on who comes at the lowest price though. Goligoski just hit 30 and Demers is 27. So Goligoski may be cheaper, but it all depends what happens this year.
Final Record:
48-26-8 (105 points)
Final Central Division Standings:
1) St. Louis Blues (108 points)
2) Dallas Stars (103 points)
3) Minnesota Wild (102 points)
4) Nashville Predators (99 points)
5) Chicago Blackhawks (97 points)
6) Colorado Avalanche (94 points)
7) Winnipeg Jets (90 points)
Do They Make Playoffs? If So, How Far?
If we learned anything from last season, it is that caution is necessary no matter how strong a “paper team” looks. But in this case, I think the Stars have the makeup for a very strong team. They will make the postseason this year, and all a team needs to do is get in. From there, it is a complete crapshoot. You want a bold prediction? The Stars beat the Ducks in game six of the Western Conference semifinals. They lose it in six in the Western Conference Finals.
So, that’s how we feel. With just one week to go, it’s crazy to think about all the ground that has been covered since April 11th. It will be an interesting season ahead, that’s for sure.
Next: Dallas Stars Swept By Blues In Preseason Play
More from Blackout Dallas
- Dallas Stars Traverse City Tournament: Who had great performances?
- Grushnikov and Stankoven lead Dallas Stars to 6-3 win over Columbus
- Dallas Stars prospects look to wrap up tournament with a win
- Burn the tapes: Dallas Stars prospects lose 5-1 to Toronto Maple Leafs
- Dallas Stars look to continue success today against the Maple Leafs